I seriously doubt it, for several reasons, like we've been told this before. Most importantly, though:
- CIG has said they want to have at least 6 months of marketing to build hype before release. (From a marketing standpoint that is about right.)
- CIG has said they don't want to launch around the time GTA 6 launches.
So to launch in Spring, the Marketing blitz should have already started.
GTA6 is launching in October so sometime March through May GTA 6 is going to start their marketing blitz.
Before anyone says "But GTA 6 is an entirely different genre so not really a competitor." Yes, that is true, however GTA 6 is going to soak up all the limited Marketing bandwidth starting around Early April, late March. Launching a game when everyone is looking at something else and your marketing gets swallowed up and/or ignored, means the only people that will know about the launch are people that have already bought the game. You can't have a successful launch if nobody knows you launched. Spring 2027, at the earliest. The more likely answer though is "two years."