I think we should create a Spai division within TEST. I mean, if we have so many spies, why not create a "bar" intended for them? So they can share there little secrets and not steal our beer the same time
As for crumbling, i doubt every org will see their number "drop" at launch. In practical in activity, because the numbers probably wont change, as inactive player wont come to update their org/affiliation status.
After 10yrs of development we have really come together to be a more supportive community rather than one that is trying to bring each other down. Im fully aware this may change in the future, but for now Im more than happy to be focusing on helping others rather than plotting their destruction.
As for an org crumbling and and falling apart soon after the game starts mantra, they all have it backwards. The challenge is building and running an org right now. If you can do that while the game is in this early stage of development, then you are going to be in even better shape when the game comes out.
Activity right now is a fraction of what it will be at launch. If you have an org of 100 members and 5 are online right now, then you will have 95 people online in the opening weeks. That is not crumbling apart, its the exact opposite.
Eventually orgs will hit roughly a 10-20% activity rate after a year of the game being out. These will be your regulars and the active members who are on all the time. Again, this is not crumbling apart, this is just the normal level of activity we can expect.
Final word on this Apheliun org is that this guy has his work cut out for him. Its extremely difficult hitting "critical mass" in a guild. Getting to the point where people are chatting, hanging out, playing all the time.. its fucking hard!
I can appreciate the hustle because I was there. I had to learn to make videos and market the shit outa TEST because its really not easy!
Having 20 people in your org is a good start, but as time goes on, one guy gets married, another guy breaks up with his gf and goes offline, another guy has a baby and has no time... losing 2-3 active members is a disaster, so he needs to build and build fast to ensure he makes it to game release!